Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Market Recap: An analogy - Germany to buy Greek houses that pay no rent


My view on the direction remains the same and we are still working the flag downwards. Tomorrow is an important vote in the German parliament and might give us a more decisive move in either direction. The last weeks have been filled with rumors of a Eurozone fix, I'm not sure what that might be. 

At the moment, as an analogy, it seems to me like German taxpayers are being asked to purchase Greek homes that don't pay any rent (read bad bonds). Thats probably an oversimplification but catches the jist of the situation. The chart below is an updated version of the one posted earlier, be careful in case the vote fails that would result  in aggressive selling, much stronger than we have seen these last few weeks.



 

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Market Recap, Look at the bear flag now


Well sometimes technical charts are too accurate, below is an example of how things played out. So am not posting much other than the daily chart.



We know the euro-zone noise is picking up we could easily see the flag post length down move from here.
The stochastics are overbought region and can stay there but its to be watched and the candlestick has a long tail, as we closed much above the lows of the day, which is a sign the bulls might be stepping in here. Lets watch out which move is next.