Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Market Recap: S&P week before Xmas

So we stabilized a little after the SPX downgrade in August (See ROC), in terms of intraday volatility but are not out of the woods yet. We've been trading sideways ever since and might continue to do that as we stay within the bearish channel. We've had four retests of the upper trendline and are due for another as today we moved above the MA(50) and its santa rally time and the stochastics are slightly over sold. Will we break through the trendline? I have my doubts about it. 



Above daily chart, see the rising wedge in a downward channel, thats bearish, and the stochastics have more room to move lower. Next chart is the weekly





Tradings been rough as you can see, from the chart but the Fib target high to low (Pink lines) is much lower.  

The same actors persist, Europe and Mr Ben B and US politics. Any resolution for each not in sight. It seems that the Fed has decided to wait on the European roslution, read breakup, before it gets involved with QE3. No point in inflating when a crisis will undo the impact would be the logic. So short term we may move a little higher but longer term I'm still bearish.


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